UK inflation remains stubbornly high – Commerzbank
Anyone who thought that the significant downward surprise in September's UK inflation figures would be repeated seamlessly in October was disappointed yesterday. Not only was the headline rate slightly higher than expected (which can still be explained by the one-off effects of household energy bills), but services inflation, and hence the core rate, also surprised on the upside, Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 05:32:53 -0500
Natural gas proves to be more sensitive to geopolitical risks – ING
Oil prices have been somewhat insulated by the growing tension between Russia and Ukraine. However, natural gas prices have been more sensitive to these developments, while Gold, as one would expect, has benefitted from safe-haven demand, ING's commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 05:19:45 -0500
Rupee weakens to record low pressured by foreign portfolio outflows
The Indian rupee declined to its weakest level on record on Thursday due to outflows from local stocks, which were dragged by a slump in Adani group shares, while uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's path to lowering policy rates also weighed.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 05:19:40 -0500
ZAR: Another 25bp cut from South Africa today – ING
Given South Africa's exposure to China, the rand has been hit hard by the US election result and what it will mean for the Chinese economy and world trade next year, ING's Chris Turner notes.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 05:00:32 -0500
Eurozone: Prudent approach by ECB as it takes rates lower – UOB Group
Last month (17 Oct), the European Central Bank (ECB) slashed interest rates, lowering policy rates by 25bps. While ECB President Christine Lagarde received several questions on the ECB's path, she revealed little, emphasizing that the ECB will be completely data dependent and will remain on a meeting-to-meeting basis, UOB Group's economist Lee Sue Ann notes.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 04:52:08 -0500
ECB's Stournaras: A 25 bps December rate cut is the right response to trade tariffs
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras said on Thursday that “trade tariffs are likely to provoke a response. And a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in December is the right response.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 04:47:00 -0500
Mexican Peso consolidates ahead of Retail Sales data
The Mexican Peso (MXN) consolidates in its most-heavily traded pairs during the European session on Thursday. This follows the Peso's average half-a-percent fall in its key pairs on Wednesday, which marked an end to a five-day winning streak.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 04:17:12 -0500
EUR: Geopolitics and Trump threat weigh – ING
EUR/USD looks to have been buffeted by events in Ukraine this week. The war is going through a period of escalation as both sides seek to gain ground ahead of potential ceasefire discussions early next year, ING's Chris Turner notes.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 04:02:23 -0500
Pound Sterling Supported vs U.S. Dollar by Rise in UK Inflation
... Exchange Rates UK - Exchange Rates and Foreign Exchange
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 04:00:00 -0500
USD: Dollar holds gains – ING
The DXY dollar index is holding gains and it is not hard to see why. US rates are being repriced modestly higher as the market shifts away from pricing a December Fed rate cut, ING's Chris Turner notes.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 03:50:46 -0500
IBEX 35 (Spain) Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]
IBEX 35 (Spain) Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge Day Chart.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 02:58:55 -0500
Pound Sterling declines even though BoE dovish bets ease
The Pound Sterling (GBP) weakens against most of its peers on Thursday even though traders doubt whether the Bank of England (BoE) will cut interest rates again in the December meeting. Market speculation for BoE rate cuts next month diminished after the release of the United Kingdom (UK) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for October on Wednesday showed that price pressures accelerated faster than expected.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 02:55:40 -0500
ECB's Villeroy: Wage data backward-looking, advocates agile pragmatism
French ECB Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau, speaking at a conference today, emphasized a cautious and pragmatic stance on monetary policy, downplaying the significance of recent stronger-than-expected wage data.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 02:48:19 -0500
France Business Climate in Manufacturing above expectations (95) in November: Actual (97)
France Business Climate in Manufacturing above expectations (95) in November: Actual (97)
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 02:45:33 -0500
France November business confidence 96 vs 97 prior
Prior 97 Services confidence 99 Prior 101 Manufacturing confidence 97 Prior 92; revised to 93 This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 02:45:04 -0500
Foreigners selling Indian bonds won't return in a hurry, ANZ India's Agarwal says
Foreigners that sold Indian government bonds in November may not be in hurry to return as pressure on the local currency is expected to continue and as interest rate cuts seem to be delayed, ANZ India's treasurer said.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 02:43:53 -0500
BoJ's Ueda: FX impact on economy and prices taken ‘seriously' in policy decisions
At a forum today, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda admitted that the central bank takes exchange rate movements “seriously” when forming its economic and inflation outlook. He also stressed the importance of understanding the factors driving current exchange rate changes and their broader implications.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 02:41:07 -0500
Japan's largest insurer to raise expected interest rates for the first time in 40 years
This is but another sign that perhaps things are starting to change in Japan with the BOJ looking to hold interest rates at a higher level amid their recent policy shift. Nippon Life Insurance is now reportedly set to raise the expected interest rates for its annuities and whole life insurance for the first time in 40 years.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 02:37:39 -0500
US Money Markets Now Put Probability of 25 bps Fed Rate Cut in December at Only 50%
Geopolitical developments keep hijacking headlines. Risk sentiment improved at the start of yesterday's trading session on talk that Russian president Putin would be open to talks on a ceasefire deal in Ukraine with the US.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 02:33:57 -0500
Euro Area Consumer Confidence Out Today
Today, in the euro area we receive data on consumer confidence for November. We have seen a strong upward trend the past year, which bodes well for consumption next year if it continues.
Thu, 21 Nov 2024 02:29:25 -0500